Underwriting in 10 Questions — The Sanity Filter
A 10‑question underwriting checklist converts noise into measurable edges by forcing per‑unit, dated, and falsifiable assumptions.
Real Estate in a 5–7% World — What Still Pencils
In a 5–7% world, only deals that clear today’s debt service coverage ratio and earn renovation returns above a live, dated hurdle deserve…
The 20% Alpha Stack: How We Build Excess Return in Practice
In the higher‑rate world, the cheapest “alpha” is still buying from someone who must sell—then letting catalysts do the compounding.
Process Beats Prediction in a Post-Zero World
Since 2022, higher interest rates have rewired global markets. In this environment, disciplined investment process is delivering steadier…
Hold Smart, Sell Smarter — a payback‑and‑risk‑decay rule
Harvest when reinvestment return minus forward hold return comfortably clears a live, dated hurdle and the payback already in hand protects…
Permanent Capital Beats Fund Cycles
Permanent capital keeps money working with fewer cash gaps and lower fee drag, so compounding accelerates versus fund cycles.
From Momentum to Mechanics: What Killed the 2020s “Easy Beta”
The liquidity tide that lifted most assets from 2020–2023 has receded; with central bank balance sheets smaller and repurchases lower, returns…
Elephant vs Black Swan: Size Big Upside and Cap Ruin with Sizing and Covenants
You do not need to predict tail events to benefit from them—size small, cap losses by contract, and let rare winners compound.
Fix, Don’t Flip: Value Creation Under Expensive Debt
With debt expensive, most value creation comes from operations you control, not the multiple you hope for.
Cash Now Beats Inflation: Build a Return Engine You Can Spend
Positive real cash yields plus disciplined reinvestment now beat story‑led growth for durable compounding.
With Bank Rate at 4.00%, Buying Well Is the Only Edge That Compounds
Most of an investment’s internal rate of return is set at entry; the rest is disciplined maintenance.